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08 September 2025 - Crude oil, refined product, and dry bulk destination forecast improvements

Teresa Deverill avatar
Written by Teresa Deverill
Updated over a week ago

Kpler is proud to announce a major enhancement to our Destination Forecast capabilities for crude oil, refined product, and dry bulk flows. This significant upgrade marks a strategic shift in our predictive methodology, delivering unprecedented precision for our customers' critical decision-making processes.

How does it work?

To learn more about our destination forecast model please check out the help article below

Our team has completely reimagined our approach by moving to specialized models designed specifically for crude oil, refined product, and dry bulk commodity flows. These specialized models operate at multiple geographic levels - continent, sub-continent, country and region - using sophisticated confidence-driven logic to deliver optimal granularity and accuracy.

The enhanced system incorporates a comprehensive array of factors including vessel characteristics, historical routes, heading information, transit times, port visits, trade volumes, and seasonal patterns. This layered approach enables our system to make smarter predictions about immediate next destinations.

Following extensive model experimentation and fine-tuning, our best-in-class models now deliver substantial accuracy improvements across all geographic levels. This enhancement represents our commitment to providing you with the most reliable data for your strategic planning and operations.

What can I expect?

This new machine learning model will generate modeled port calls, providing you with deeper foresight to take advantage of market opportunities.

Future port calls that are generated by this model will have a confidence interval, like in the image below.

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